
Crude palm oil buyers stocked up ahead of higher export duties in Malaysia and Indonesia, pushing the daily price above RM4,400 per tonne in the week of October 24, 2024. Prices rose about 15 percent from an August 2024 low.
Analysts said tight supply and the duty changes were driving purchases and that palm oil's premium over soybean oil would persist.
Forward buying ahead of duty increases and tight supply lift near-term palm oil demand and prices. The premium over soybean oil can also shift buying toward palm in edible oil and biodiesel markets.
After 133 past bullish trade events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, SBO moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Buyers stocking up ahead of higher export duties and tight supply pushed prices higher in late October, feeding the rally.