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An analyst says potash from Belarus cannot replace Canadian exports to the US, even though President Trump has pushed for Belarusian sourcing. The analysis notes Belarus's peak volumes in 2018 were far below what Canada supplies.
Sourcing policy is unlikely to materially shift US potash supply, so Canadian potash prices should stay anchored despite political headlines.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.