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Analysts preview the June 2022 WASDE report, expecting U.S. wheat production forecasts to be the main source of price volatility. The May report showed a shortfall in hard red winter wheat in the Southern Plains, and analysts expect those losses to keep mounting.
Expected further hard red winter wheat losses, if confirmed by USDA, would support wheat prices and could tighten feed wheat supplies.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.