
USDA forecasts a record $28.4 billion in US food and agricultural exports to Mexico this fiscal year, close to China's $28.7 billion. Strong demand for corn, pork, beef and sweeteners drives the forecast.
USDA cut its China sales estimate by $800 million due to South American competition.
Record Mexican corn demand supports US corn export prices and offsets some weakness from China. Lost Chinese sales to Brazil keep pressure on US soybean and corn share.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.