
Trump and cabinet officials described a US-China deal that preserves the Geneva tariff truce, with the US applying a 10% baseline tariff plus 20% fentanyl-related duties on Chinese imports while China keeps a 10% retaliatory tariff. Officials said the arrangement could lead to more Chinese purchases of US ag products.
Confirmed tariff stability and possible ag purchase commitments support US farm export demand, a bullish signal for soybeans and corn.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.