The White House said China agreed to buy at least 12 million metric tons of US soybeans in the last two months of 2025 and at least 25 million tons a year in each of the next three years. China also agreed to resume purchases of US sorghum and hardwood logs.
A large multi-year purchase commitment would substantially expand US export demand for soybeans and sorghum, supporting prices if fulfilled.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.