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Grain futures ended mostly higher on August 11, 2025 as soybeans gained nearly 24 cents on hopes for Chinese purchases after Trump's social media post. StoneX's Arlan Suderman said the market may be ahead of itself because there was no confirmed commercial sale.
The rally rests on expectations rather than booked sales, so soybean prices are vulnerable to a pullback if no Chinese purchases materialize. Traders are covering short positions in anticipation of a possible deal.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.