Indonesia set its February 2017 crude palm oil export tax at $18 per metric ton, up from $3 in January. The benchmark February CPO price was $815.5 per ton, which falls in the $800 to $850 band that triggers the higher tax.
The higher export tax raises the cost of Indonesian palm oil shipments and supports international palm prices. Exporters' competitiveness is reduced.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Indonesia's February export tax hike from $3 to $18/t, announced Jan 28, raises export costs and may have weighed on palm prices ahead of the Feb 1 drop, though the size of the tax is small.