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U.S. rice producers face lower farm prices in 2026 despite tighter domestic supplies, with the long-grain farm price forecast falling to about $10.50/cwt from $14.00. Worldwide production is near record levels while demand lags, and U.S. long-grain exports fell 31% in the first half of the marketing year.
Large Asian exportable supplies dominate the global market, capping U.S. rice prices despite a smaller domestic stocks outlook. Competition from South American crops limits U.S. export recovery.
rfdtv.comTony St. JamesFeb 19, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Lower US long-grain farm price forecasts, near-record world output and a 31% drop in US long-grain exports weigh on rough rice values.
Lower forecast US farm prices, weak exports and near-record world output reinforce bearish sentiment, though it is a slower-moving outlook rather than a trigger.
