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The yuan started 2017 stronger than forecasters expected, as a liquidity squeeze hurt investors betting on a falling currency. Forecasts for further depreciation were upset by the early-year rally.
The squeeze was tied to tight funding conditions around the holiday.
A stronger yuan lowers the local cost of dollar-priced feed imports, but the rally rests on temporary liquidity conditions that could reverse.
economist.comJan 14, 2017After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
