
Overnight offshore yuan funding rates in Hong Kong surged to record highs above 80 percent, which traders believe was orchestrated by Chinese authorities. The spike made it prohibitively expensive to borrow yuan for short-selling.
The move hit bearish yuan positions.
Higher offshore yuan funding costs squeezed speculators betting on a weaker yuan, which can influence the USD/CNY rate that shapes China's import purchasing power for feed ingredients.
After 362 past bearish macro events, USDCNY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record offshore overnight funding rates above 80% made shorting the yuan prohibitively expensive, forcing short covering and pushing USD/CNY lower.
Record offshore funding rates above 80% made yuan shorting prohibitively expensive, squeezing bears and supporting the yuan around this period.