
The yuan rallied to a seven-month high against the dollar on the last trading day of 2023, after expectations of Federal Reserve easing. The currency still posted a 6.14% annual loss, its second consecutive yearly decline.
The PBOC set its midpoint at a seven-month high.
A stronger yuan lowers the cost of dollar-priced imports for China, modestly supporting its feed purchasing power. The move is a currency story with limited direct effect on feed prices.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The yuan's rally to a seven-month high on Dec 29 on Fed easing expectations and a stronger PBOC fixing set the immediate currency momentum leading into the Jan 2 move, though the timing of this 0.60% move differs slightly.