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US temperatures in October 2021 averaged 66.4 F through the first three weeks, the warmest start to October since at least 2005. Gas-fired heating demand was at its lowest level for that period since 2017, and forecasts showed mild weather continuing with residential-commercial demand possibly hitting record lows.
Henry Hub winter futures had fallen about $1 from early October highs.
Weak heating demand and rising production and storage are easing supply concerns, which pressures natural gas prices lower. Lower gas prices reduce nitrogen fertilizer and energy costs for feed producers.
spglobal.comJ RobinsonOct 22, 2021After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
