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The PBOC raised FX reserve requirements and set a weaker-than-expected yuan fixing at 6.3702, well above consensus. Both moves aim to curb yuan appreciation.
ING expects the dollar to stay strong as the yuan is kept capped.
Capping the yuan keeps Chinese import costs in dollar terms higher than they would otherwise be, which can weigh on feed purchase appetite. A firmer dollar also tends to pressure US dollar-priced commodities.
think.ing.comFrancesco Pesole, Chris TurnerDec 10, 2021After 31 past bullish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 15 past bullish policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
