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The Turkish currency went into a freefall, rocking world equity markets and weighing on the euro. The Times reported that the European Central Bank was concerned about European lenders' exposure to Turkey, which is not an EU member but is economically linked to the bloc.
Contagion fears from Turkish bank and currency exposure pushed investors toward the dollar and away from the euro, strengthening the dollar against euro-linked and emerging-market assets.
reuters.comHerbert LashAug 10, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The lira freefall and the reported ECB concern over European lenders' Turkey exposure created contagion risk (sentiment) that weighed on the euro the same day.
