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A Conference Board analysis argues that the renminbi's depreciation since late 2015 is a market-driven but government-guided correction after a period of strong appreciation. It notes the RMB weakened 6.8% against the dollar between August 2015 and May 2016, while FX reserves fell by USD 460 billion.
Continued managed depreciation of the yuan signals ongoing pressure on Chinese import purchasing power, which is a modest headwind for dollar-priced agricultural commodities.
conference-board.orgYuan GaoJun 24, 2016After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
