
The Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by a quarter point, but Chair Jerome Powell described the move as a mid-cycle adjustment rather than the start of an easing cycle. The S&P 500 fell as much as 1.8% and the dollar rose, extending its 2019 rally.
A firmer dollar after a rate cut weakens dollar-denominated commodity prices and can cut US export competitiveness for grains and meal, which tends to pressure feed ingredient prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.