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According to Goldman Sachs, China's central bank changed its yuan fixing mechanism after the US presidential election to support a stronger currency. The move was made as capital outflows grew and President-elect Trump threatened protectionist trade policies.
A deliberate change in fixing practice signals state intervention to stabilize the yuan, which reduces the odds of a sharp devaluation that would hit Chinese import demand. Trade-policy threats also keep US-China export flows uncertain.
bloomberg.comYe XieJan 9, 2017After 50 past bearish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Goldman noted the PBOC fixing mechanism was geared toward a stronger currency, a policy signal that anchored yuan strength.
