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Corn prices fell sharply last week on trade uncertainty and a strong start to the growing season. The June WASDE cut 2017-18 ending stocks by 80 million bushels and 2018-19 stocks by 105 million, with exports running at a healthy pace.
Lower projected US ending stocks and firm export demand suggest the corn selloff has overshot and that prices could recover.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.