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The May 10 WASDE raised U.S. corn use for ethanol by 50 million bushels and export expectations by 50 million bushels, cutting 2023/24 U.S. corn ending stocks by 100 million bushels to 2,022 million. USDA's first 2024/25 estimates for corn and soybean production came in below pre-report trade expectations, with acreage also below expectations.
Lower-than-expected U.S. corn and soybean production estimates and tighter stocks support corn and soybean prices. The gap between USDA and Brazilian crop estimates could also drive trade reactions.
grains.orgMay 16, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
