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Natural gas prices jumped above $4.80 per MMBtu on Wednesday, the highest since the 2014 polar vortex, and rose about 30% over the past week. U.S. inventories were 3,247 Bcf for the week ending November 9, 528 Bcf below 2017 and 601 Bcf below the five-year average.
Early cold weather and forecasts of a cold winter drove the rally.
Storage running well below normal means little buffer against cold snaps, so price spikes can persist through winter. Higher gas costs raise energy expenses for feed processing and can support ethanol and DDGS economics.
oilprice.comNick CunninghamNov 15, 2018After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
