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Ingram Barge issued a force majeure notice on October 7 because low water prevented normal river operations below Baton Rouge. Barge rates in St. Louis had jumped 218% compared with 2021, and forecasts for river levels were poor.
A force majeure declaration by a major operator signals that barge supply in the lower river is constrained, which keeps freight costs high and pressures interior grain basis.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.