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Peru's ENFEN committee says the coastal El Niño, active since March 2026, will persist until February 2027 with strong rainfall on the northern coast, including Tumbes. Rainfall is expected to exceed normal levels in coastal and northern highland areas through January 2027, with a gradual weakening into mid-2027.
A prolonged coastal El Niño keeps Peru's anchoveta fishery under pressure, which can limit fishmeal output and support prices for feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.