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The premium on short-dated options that profit from a weaker dollar has risen to its highest level on record. Investors are the most pessimistic on the dollar's long-term outlook since at least May.
Heavy bearish positioning in the dollar points to continued pressure on the currency, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities, though the report itself describes sentiment rather than a new shock.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.