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Natural gas ETFs fell as natural gas futures dropped to a five-week low on warmer-than-normal Midwest weather. Inverse gas ETFs rose, and forecasts called for above-normal temperatures in the central US into early November and a warm winter outlook.
Expectations of a warm winter reduce heating demand and weigh on gas prices, which lowers the energy cost component for feed production.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.