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Persistent drought has sharply reduced the US cattle supply, pushing beef prices higher. Beef production is on track for its biggest annual decline in decades.
A shrinking cattle herd tightens beef supply and supports cattle prices throughout the chain. Feed buyers may see steady or stronger demand from feedlots as herds rebuild slowly.
After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.