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ING analyst Carsten Brzeski argues that the ECB will find it hard to weaken the euro at its December meeting because markets have priced in heavy easing. He targets EUR/USD at 1.25 in 2021, with upside risk to 1.30.
He notes that a rate cut or much larger asset purchases would be needed to push the euro lower.
A forecast of a stronger euro and weaker dollar would reduce the dollar cost of commodities priced in dollars for euro-zone buyers and could lift US export prices. The view is a forecast rather than a new fact.
think.ing.comCarsten Brzeski8 dic 2020Tras 388 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de +0,3 % en 5 sesiones (62% al alza; mitad central entre -0,4 % y +1,1 %), y +0,1 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
