
Analysts previewed the ECB meeting and expected the euro not to be a risk event, as the policy focus had shifted to rising bond yields. They saw no need for the ECB to lean against euro strength.
A front-loaded PEPP would only move the euro significantly if the envelope were increased.
Euro-specific drivers are expected to take a back seat to US yields and dollar strength. The analysts expect EUR/USD to rebound from a recent fall that they judge overdone.
Tras 388 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de +0,3 % en 5 sesiones (62% al alza; mitad central entre -0,4 % y +1,1 %), y +0,1 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.