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The Brazilian real weakened about 6.2% to 3.31 per dollar after a newspaper reported that President Temer encouraged payments to a jailed former congressman. Mr. Temer has denied wrongdoing, and the report raised doubts about the government's ability to pass key economic reforms.
Uncertainty over reforms and the currency's sharp fall make Brazilian export commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, which can pressure global soybean and meal prices.
foxbusiness.comJeffrey T. Lewis, Luciana Magalhaes18 may 2017Tras 12 eventos alcista de política pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de +1,5 % en 5 sesiones (58% al alza; mitad central entre -1,1 % y +2,0 %), y +2,3 % en 20.
Tras 223 eventos bajista de política pasados, Harina de soja se movió una mediana de -0,3 % en 5 sesiones (45% al alza; mitad central entre -2,2 % y +1,2 %), y -0,6 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Report that Temer encouraged hush-money payments triggered a ~6% real plunge to 3.31 per dollar and raised doubts over reform passage, directly driving the 5-day BRL move ending May 18.
Reports that Temer encouraged hush-money payments triggered the real's plunge on 2017-05-18, a sentiment and political-risk shock that cast doubt on reform passage and drove capital out of BRL.
