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StoneX's Josh Linville says urea prices lack fundamental reasons to rally right now but he leans bullish. He says the outcome depends on whether other regions follow India's urea tender announced before Christmas.
He also warns that Red Sea and Persian Gulf shipping lanes make him nervous, and notes that US imports in October were around 500,000 tons.
Buyer reaction to India's tender and shipping risk in the Red Sea could push urea values higher, so feed and fertilizer buyers should watch these factors for price direction.
stonex.comJosh Linville26 dic 2023stonex.comJosh Linville26 dic 2023Todavía no hay suficientes eventos comparables pasados para una lectura histórica.
Tras 176 eventos alcista de comercio pasados, Urea se movió una mediana de +0,1 % en 5 sesiones (51% al alza; mitad central entre -1,3 % y +2,4 %), y +1,6 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
