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Rabobank's Dairy Quarterly reports that milk collections in the Big Seven exporting regions were nearly flat year-on-year in Q4 2018, with US growth at about 1%. Output is falling in the EU and Australia, where weather hit feed quality, while Brazil and New Zealand grew before stalling in February 2019.
Rabobank expects a challenging production environment to continue through the first half of 2019.
Stalling milk output with weak global supply supports dairy prices and raises the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients for buyers. Tight milk supply tends to keep farmgate prices firm.
dairyindustries.com02.04.2019Nach 237 vergangenen Ereignisse (bullisch, Bericht) bewegte sich Milch (Class III) im Median über 5 Handelstage um +0,0 % (51% höher; mittlere Hälfte -0,3 % bis +0,6 %) und über 20 Handelstage um +1,2 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
Rabobank's outlook for constrained milk output in major exporting regions through H1 2019 is a bullish supply signal released on the move date.
