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MUFG says EUR/USD is heading towards 1.05 after stronger-than-expected US inflation, driven by rents, ruled out a June Fed cut. The euro dipped to just above 1.0720, close to eight-week lows.
MUFG expects the ECB to be cautious, though clearer guidance on a June cut would still weaken the euro.
Markets are pricing out early Fed cuts, which supports the dollar and pressures the euro and dollar-priced commodities. The forecast is a currency call with little direct effect on feed prices.
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。