
Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen advanced to the French presidential runoff on May 7 after the first round, with Macron at about 23.7 percent and Le Pen at about 21.7 percent. The euro reached a five-and-a-half-month high against the dollar, and polls showed Macron favoured at roughly 62 to 38 percent.
A likely Macron win reduces the tail risk of a euro-area shock that would weigh on the euro. Currency moves of this kind change the dollar cost of European feed imports only modestly.
在过去 18 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%(83% 上涨;中间一半区间为 +0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Macron and Le Pen advancing to the runoff, with Macron favoured in polls, lowered the odds of a eurosceptic victory and lifted EUR/USD to a five-and-a-half-month high.