
Urea prices stabilised after India's IPL announced a 1.5-million-tonne tender closing April 8, lifting Middle East paper futures by USD 9-13/tonne. Ammonia output in Europe is being curtailed by another producer amid high gas prices, and China's export resumption is a key uncertainty.
A large Indian tender and European ammonia curtailments support nitrogen prices, while possible Chinese exports could reverse the rally, adding cost uncertainty for feed producers.
在过去 59 次看涨的贸易事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +10.6%),20 个交易日内为 +8.0%。
在过去 176 次看涨的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
India's IPL announced a 1.5 Mt urea tender closing April 8, which lifted Middle East paper futures by USD 9-13/t and steadied prices, while European ammonia curtailments and uncertainty over China's exports add supply-side support, consistent with a sharp one-day rise.
India's IPL 1.5-million-tonne urea tender closing April 8 lifted Middle East futures by USD 9-13/tonne, while European ammonia curtailments from high gas prices tightened supply, both plausibly feeding a sharp urea price jump a few days later, though the event predates the move by three days and China's export uncertainty adds ambiguity.