
The Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives research centre forecasts rising prices in May for paddy rice, jasmine and sticky rice, maize, sugar, cassava, palm oil and pork, while rubber prices are expected to fall. The rise follows export restrictions by India and Vietnam and drought in Thailand and Vietnam.
Export curbs by major rice exporters and drought-related supply concerns support higher prices for rice, maize and cassava used in feed, while palm oil strength also lifts vegetable oil costs.
在过去 168 次看涨的政策事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.8%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 318 次看涨的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Forecast of rising paddy rice prices tied to India and Vietnam export restrictions and Thai/Vietnam drought reinforces bullish supply-side sentiment on the same day.