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US natural gas futures dropped to a 10-month low as mild January forecasts reduced expectations for cold weather. The March-April spread fell 52% to a record low of 10 cents per MMBtu, signaling the market had abandoned hopes for a cold winter.
A collapse in the winter spread signals that traders expect weak winter heating demand, reinforcing downward pressure on natural gas prices. Lower gas costs can ease energy and fertilizer expenses across the feed supply chain.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。