
The dollar index rose nearly 3% since Trump's election and is near a 14-year high, with the euro edging toward parity. Currencies of emerging markets such as the Brazilian real and Mexican peso sold off sharply on fears about NAFTA and trade policy.
A strong dollar and weak emerging-market currencies such as the real and peso raise the cost of US grain and meal for those buyers and can shift export flows toward Brazil and Argentina.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
A broad dollar rally of nearly 3% and EM currency sell-off on trade and NAFTA fears show a global dollar-strength driver behind the real's decline.