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Goldman Sachs kept its 2026 average forecasts at $83 for Brent and $78 for WTI, saying softer demand and easing disruptions balance risks. The bank assumes Hormuz flows normalize gradually by mid-May.
A faster peace deal could push prices lower in the near term.
A forecast that assumes normalizing Hormuz flows implies lower energy prices ahead, which reduces diesel and fertilizer costs for feed production. Forecast balance suggests no sharp directional change in the outlook.
reuters.com2026年4月17日在过去 129 次看跌的报告事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 171 次看跌的报告事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%（37% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.8% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Goldman's view of softer demand and gradual Hormuz normalization reinforced the bearish sentiment and possible lower near-term prices.
