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Preliminary estimates put US hog slaughter near 2.9 million head per week, just below last year, with weights about 1% above year-ago levels. USDA official slaughter and weight data are unavailable, and pork bellies have fallen about 25% since August.
Heavier weights and seasonal supply growth increase pork output while softening demand from fast-service restaurants later in the year, which pressures pork cutout values and hog prices. Missing USDA export data also leaves feed demand harder to assess.
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。