
China's pork output rose 7% year on year in the third quarter, with June-September output reaching 13.48 million metric tons, as producers accelerated slaughter to address overcapacity. Cash hog prices fell to 11.2 yuan per kg from above 17 yuan a year earlier, and the sow herd was 0.7% lower but still above target.
Heavier Chinese slaughter and a large herd glut mean weaker domestic hog prices and reduced hog-feed demand in China, though authorities are moving to cut sows, which could tighten supply in roughly nine months.
在过去 34 次看跌的政策事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.8%。
在过去 439 次中性的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。