The US announced 25% duties on about $50 billion of Chinese goods on June 15, and China retaliated with 25% duties on about $38 billion of US goods, including soybeans, corn and wheat, starting July 6. The administration then threatened a 10% tariff on an additional $200 billion of Chinese imports, and most grain and oilseed futures fell sharply over the past month.
Tariffs on US soybeans and grains reduce China's demand for US exports, pressuring US futures and basis while supporting the case for lower prices. Feed buyers may see cheaper US soybean meal and corn, though the market is debating how much of the risk is already priced in.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。