
China said it would raise tariffs on $60 billion of US imports to as high as 25% from June 1, in response to US tariff threats on a further $325 billion of Chinese goods. State media suggested China could halt purchases of US agricultural products and energy, and the offshore yuan neared a decade low against the dollar.
A possible halt in Chinese purchases of US farm products would remove a major export outlet for soybeans and corn, and the weaker yuan further discourages imports, pointing to lower US feed grain and soybean prices.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
China's tariff retaliation and state media hints at halting US agricultural and energy purchases pushed USDCNH toward decade highs on the same day, driving risk-off yuan selling.
China's tariff retaliation on $60B of US goods and hints at halting US ag purchases hit soy complex demand expectations on 2019-05-13, a direct trade-flow and sentiment driver.
China's May 13 tariff retaliation and talk of halting US farm purchases escalated the trade war, hitting soy complex sentiment and demand expectations.
China's tariff retaliation and talk of halting US farm purchases drove trade-war sentiment and soybean volatility around May 13.