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TD Securities said the dollar weakened after the July FOMC rate hold and Chair Warsh's lack of hawkish guidance, with the broad index down about 0.3% after the statement. The bank expects the selloff to be limited unless US data surprise to the downside.
Limited dollar weakness means only modest support for USD-priced feed commodities, so the price effect is likely small unless US data weaken.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Dollar weakness after the FOMC hold and lack of hawkish guidance contributed to the move, though TD expected the selloff to be limited.