
Cattle markets turned lower after mid-October highs as political comments, including Trump saying beef prices are too high, talk of expanded Argentine imports, and speculation about reopening the Mexican border, triggered selling. December live cattle are about $30/cwt below the mid-October peak and feeders are off more than $60/cwt, while cash cattle are holding steady.
Retail beef has stayed near record levels, with pork up 8% and chicken up 10% year over year.
Trade speculation about imports and border reopening raises expected beef supply, pressuring feeder and live cattle futures even though underlying fed cattle supplies remain tight. Competing proteins remain strong, which supports demand for feed inputs.
在过去 121 次看跌的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 87 次看跌的贸易事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 28 次中性的贸易事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Summarizes political noise and import talk driving selling, with December live cattle well off the peak, though it is a broader recap.