The dollar posted its biggest gain since the Brexit vote after Donald Trump's election victory, rallying against most major peers and emerging-market currencies. The Fed December rate-hike probability jumped above 80 percent after falling below 50 percent on election results.
A sharp dollar rally and higher expected Fed rates raise import costs for emerging-market feed buyers and push down dollar-denominated commodity prices. Currency weakness against the dollar can also dampen import demand.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports the dollar's biggest one-day gain since Brexit on Trump's win, driven by a jump in Fed December hike odds, which directly explains the 1.23% broad USD move on 2016-11-09.
Trump's election win on Nov 9 triggered the biggest dollar gain since Brexit and lifted Fed hike odds, starting the euro's slide within the 5-day window.