
The US Energy Information Administration said in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook that Brent prices will trade above $95 a barrel over the next two months because of the Iran war. The agency forecast prices falling to around $70 by year-end as Mideast output declines, with Strait of Hormuz shipments largely blocked.
A government forecast of sustained high crude prices supports biofuel demand and raises input and freight costs across feed supply chains. The expected decline toward $70 later in the year suggests the premium may fade if supply recovers.
在过去 116 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%(66% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +3.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 131 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +3.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
在过去 296 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。