Fertilizer prices reached levels not seen since 2008-09, driven by European gas-driven ammonia cutbacks, Chinese coal rationing, and Hurricane Ida disruptions. China suspended fertilizer exports until June 2022 and Russia restricted nitrogen and phosphate exports from December 1, 2021.
China accounts for about one-third of global DAP trade and one-tenth of urea trade, so export curbs tighten global supply and lift phosphate and nitrogen prices, adding to food inflation pressure.
在过去 176 次看涨的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 193 次看涨的贸易事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Chinese fertilizer export suspension through June 2022 and Russian phosphate export restrictions starting December 1 tighten global DAP supply, a direct trade-flow driver of the price jump on 2021-11-26.