
US natural gas futures fell about 5% to a seven-week low on Tuesday, with the November contract at $2.201 per mmBtu. Forecasts for mild weather through mid-November and rising output squeezed demand.
The December premium over November was on track for a record high.
Mild weather cuts heating demand while rising output adds supply, pressuring spot prices. The record December premium signals expectations of looser near-term supply versus later winter demand.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Directly describes the Oct 30 session: Nov contract expiry at $2.201 and the record December premium over November reflect the roll to the more expensive front month, which plausibly explains a large continuous-series jump.