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SD Guthrie expects crude palm oil prices to average above RM4,000 per tonne this year, citing limited Indonesian supply due to extreme weather tied to El Nino. The company said palm is now cheaper than soybean and sunflower oil, and expects La Nina in the second half of the year.
Weather-driven Indonesian supply constraints and palm's price discount to other oils support palm prices and vegetable oil demand in feed markets.
malaymail.com2024年5月31日在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 18 次中性的天气事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.6%（72% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +3.5%），20 个交易日内为 +3.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
SD Guthrie's outlook of CPO averaging above RM4,000 on limited Indonesian El Nino supply and palm's discount to other oils supported bullish sentiment.
