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Brent crude jumped as much as 13% to above $82 a barrel at the Monday open after US and Israeli attacks on Iran escalated over the weekend. Oil markets are bracing for prolonged volatility and sustained disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
Disruption risk in Hormuz threatens a large share of global oil and LNG flows, pushing up energy costs for feed production and transport and supporting vegetable oil and biofuel-linked prices.
bloomberg.comRong Wei Neo2026年3月2日在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 250 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +8.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%），20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Brent jumped as much as 13% at the Monday open on the weekend escalation and Hormuz disruption fears, driving the 1-day move.
Brent jumped as much as 13% on March 2 on Hormuz disruption fears, lifting vegetable oils through energy-linked biodiesel demand and sentiment.
The Brent spike of up to 13% on 2026-03-02 from Hormuz disruption set the crude rally that lifts palm oil via biofuel substitution, though it came several days before the 2026-03-06 move and likely was partly priced in.
